If you’ve been scrolling through Zillow waiting for prices to drop, I have some tough news: Arlington isn't playing that game.
The November 2025 numbers just dropped, and they tell a fascinating story of a market that is tightening up, not slowing down. While the headlines scream about "market shifts," Arlington continues to prove it is the "Blue Chip" stock of Northern Virginia real estate—resilient, expensive, and incredibly competitive for the best homes.
Here is the real data you need to know before we head into 2026.
1. The Inventory Cliff is Real
Everyone talks about "low inventory," but November took it to a new level.
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New Listings plummeted: We saw a massive 53% drop in new listings from October to November (217 down to just 102).
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Compared to last year, new listings are down 15.7%.
What this means for you: Sellers are packing it in for the holidays. If you see a home you love right now, you can't afford to "sleep on it" for too long, because there is almost nothing coming up behind it until spring.
2. Prices Are Skyrocketing (Again)
Despite the seasonal slowdown, values are surging.
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Median Sold Price: Hit $790,000 in November—that is a huge 13.7% increase compared to last year.
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Detached Homes are the Gold Standard: If you want a single-family home in Arlington, the average price tag is now hovering around $1.5 Million ($1,495,231 to be exact), up over 4% from last year.
3. The "Condo Opportunity"
Here is the one bright spot for first-time buyers or investors. While single-family homes are getting more expensive, the attached market (condos/townhomes) is actually seeing a slight cool-down.
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The average sold price for attached homes dipped 3% to roughly $583,000.
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With rates hovering in the low 6% range, this sector represents the best "entry-level" value in the entire county right now.
4. Buyers: You Have a Little More Time
The frenzy of 2021 is gone.
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Days on Market (DOM): Homes are sitting for an average of 34 days, which is a bit longer than the 28 days we saw year-to-date.
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Negotiation Power: The average "Sold to Original List Price" ratio is 97.3%. This means buyers are negotiating about ~2.7% off the list price on average. You can get a deal if you are smart.
The Bottom Line
Arlington remains the anchor of the DMV. Inventory is dangerously low, keeping prices high, but the pace has slowed just enough to let you make a smart, educated decision.
Are you looking to buy before prices jump again this spring? Or thinking of selling while inventory is scarce?
Click here to check out the latest Arlington listings and see what your budget gets you right now.
Posted by Chris Colgan on
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